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Whale Accumulation Meets Technical Support

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TLDR

25,000 ETH moved off exchanges between January 7-10, indicating whale accumulation during market downturn
ETH dropped 16% this week following Bitcoin’s decline from $100K to $92K
Current ETH price stands at $3,292.60 as of January 10, 2025, showing a -0.65% daily change
Technical analysis suggests a potential 44% rally to $5,825 based on inverse head-and-shoulders pattern
Key support levels established at $3,278, $3,029, and $3,000

The cryptocurrency market witnessed a notable shift in Ethereum holdings as whale addresses accumulated approximately 25,000 ETH during the recent market correction. Data from blockchain analytics firm Santiment reveals a decrease in exchange-held ETH from 10.67 million to 10.42 million between January 7 and January 10, 2025.

The movement coincides with Ethereum’s price action, which currently stands at $3,292.60, representing a modest decline of 0.65% over the past 24 hours. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has experienced a 16% drawdown this week, following Bitcoin’s descent from $100,000 to $92,000.

Market data indicates that large holders, commonly referred to as whales, transferred substantial amounts of ETH from centralized exchanges to private wallets. This behavior typically suggests a long-term holding strategy rather than immediate trading intentions.

The timing of these transfers gains additional relevance when considering the broader market context. The cryptocurrency market’s recent volatility has created opportunities for strategic position-building, which appears to be exactly what these large holders are doing.

Transaction data reveals an uptick in high-value transfers during the late Thursday trading session. Specifically, the number of transactions worth more than $100,000 and $1 million increased markedly, supporting the accumulation narrative.

Technical analysis of Ethereum‘s price chart reveals the formation of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a traditionally bullish technical setup. This pattern suggests a potential price target of $5,825, representing a 44% increase from current levels.

The market structure shows several key support levels that traders and investors are watching closely. These include $3,278, which serves as immediate support, followed by $3,029 and the psychologically important $3,000 level.

Ethereum Price on CoinGecko
Ethereum Price on CoinGecko

For the bullish scenario to play out, Ethereum needs to overcome several resistance levels. The first major hurdle lies at $3,600, followed by $3,843, and the crucial $4,000 mark, which could act as a trigger point for the projected rally.

Exchange flow metrics support the bullish case, as the reduction in exchange-held ETH typically reduces immediate selling pressure. The movement of 25,000 ETH off exchanges represents a value of approximately $82.3 million at current prices.

Whale transaction counts, which track transfers valued at more than $100,000, showed a sharp increase during the recent price decline. This metric often serves as a reliable indicator of smart money movement and potential market bottoms.

The current market dynamics mirror previous accumulation phases, where large holders have historically taken advantage of price corrections to build positions. The recent whale activity follows this established pattern.

Trading volumes across major exchanges have remained steady despite the price volatility, indicating maintained market interest and liquidity. This stability in trading activity suggests market participants remain engaged despite the recent price correction.

Looking at specific price levels, the market has established several strategic targets for potential profit-taking in January 2025. These include $4,500, $5,000, $5,500, and the previously mentioned $5,825 level.

However, traders should note that a break below the $3,029 support level would invalidate the bullish technical setup. Such a move could lead to further downside, potentially testing the $2,800 area.

The most recent data shows continued whale accumulation, with the supply held by top addresses increasing by approximately 25,000 ETH, matching the decrease in exchange-held supply.

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